While I'm at it, the NBA's schedule just came out and I've updated the season simulator for the NBA. Note there are new fields for an over/under threshold and also an update to the schedule page that will allow users to easily filter to a specific team.
Do note that while the basic version employs a pythagorean approach, I encourage users to modify the formula for any other number of approaches, such as incorporating basketball's four factors.
NBA Season Simulator
Original author- Erich
Revision date- 20090821
6 comments:
I was going to mention this at APBR but the results look very strange. I run it and got Boston winning 24%? Memphis 72%, etc. Did the names and data get scrambled or am I doing something wrong? You might want to check it again.
Mountain
Ok, I guess the points for and against currently loaded for just dummy numbers? Seems like that should be clearly stated.
But thanks for the setup.
Yeah, I would recommend using last years' PF, PA to avoid confusion.
Thanks Erich, this is great. Would you know how to calculate a frequency distribution for the results in this spreadsheet. I wanted to know what percentage, say Boston would win 50 games, 51 games, 52 games, etc... Thanks so much.
Erich - you never surprise me ... i still do not comprehend any of this. however I am very impressed ... ha. Joe said if you can beat the bookies he's got the $$$
Mountain & Animal,
Thanks for the feedback, expect that kind of change in the next revision.
William, it is possible to collect a frequency distribution, but due to the way the monte carlo macro runs, that requires a significant overhead of formulas. These formulas can be added by advanced users and if you are interested, drop me a line and we can discuss.
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